“Computers in the future may have 1000 vaccum tubes…”


“Computers in the future may have only 1,000 vaccuum tubes and perhaps weigh only 1.5 tons” - Popular Mechanics article, March 1949

The above quote amply demonstrates the problems with predicting the future. This is because the future does not always evolve linearly from the past - there are often unforeseen quantum leaps in technology that have unpredictable consequences.

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  1. #1 by Rosemarie Mabery on August 22, 2010 - 3:29 am

    Great post and website! I have bookmarked it and will check back ofter. I also linked you to my site.

  2. #2 by Capt. Jim Slots on July 4, 2010 - 4:37 pm

    Me and my husband enjoyed reading your blog post. Keep up the good work.

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