“Computers in the future may have 1000 vaccum tubes…”

“Computers in the future may have only 1,000 vaccuum tubes and perhaps weigh only 1.5 tons” – Popular Mechanics article, March 1949

The above quote amply demonstrates the problems with predicting the future. This is because the future does not always evolve linearly from the past – there are often unforeseen quantum leaps in technology that have unpredictable consequences.

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